Pensacola radar in motion update#

The storm was moving west at 17 mph and a minimum central pressure was estimated to be 1009 mb. The storm has the potential to affect a large portion of Florida this weekend with heavy rain and high winds, although the National Hurricane Center says the 'magnitude, location and timing of those impacts are still uncertain'.Īs of 11 pm EDT Tuesday, Tropical Storm Fred was located 45 miles south-southwest of Ponce, Puerto Rico and had maximum winds of 40 mph. Original story from 11 PM Tuesday: The disturbance in the northeast Caribbean was upgraded to Tropical Storm Fred late Tuesday evening just south of Puerto Rico. There is some chance that Fred will find a more favorable environment for strengthening near Florida over the upcoming weekend, if the circulation can stay over water. Null,Its interaction with mountainous Hispaniola, along with dry air and increasing southwesterly wind shear, are all likely to cause Fred to weaken later Wednesday into Thursday. Its west-northwestward motion at 16 mph should bring the center of circulation over Hispaniola later Wednesday, near the Turks and Caicos Islands and southeast Bahamas on Thursday, and near or just north of the north coast of Cuba on Friday. It is about 50 miles southeast of Santo Domingo as of the 8am advisory from the Hurricane Center with top sustained winds near 40 mph.

Pensacola radar in motion update#

Update as of 8am Wednesday: Fred is nearing landfall on the Dominican Republic. However, in the 'key messages' issued with the 11 am advisory, forecasters have noted that there is an 'increasing risk' of wind and rainfall impacts from Fred across Florida, beginning Friday night in the Keys and spreading northward through portions of the Peninsula and Panhandle Saturday through Monday. There were no significant changes to the overall track or intensity forecasts with Fred. Update as of 11 am Wednesday: Tropical Storm Fred was nearing the eastern Dominican Republic and had strengthened slightly, according to morning satellite imagery and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft reports. For these reasons, confidence in the forecast for Fred after 72 hours remains 'lower than normal'. Stronger winds aloft are also projected to influence Fred's circulation some as it moves closer to the Straits of Florida Friday, then into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico Saturday. This is largely related to how close the center of the storm may pass to the island of Cuba Thursday and Friday, and whether it will move over warmer ocean water or near mountainous land areas. The track and intensity forecasts for Fred has changed very little in recent advisories from the NHC, but forecasters have noted some divergence in the longer range model simulations. Maximum sustained winds were up to 40 mph, and the storm's minimum central pressure was 1007 mb. As of 500 pm EDT Wednesday, Tropical Storm Fred was located 75 miles WNW of Santo Domingo Dominican Republic and moving WNW at 15 mph. However, satellite and radar data suggests the storm is becoming less organized as it passes over the mountainous terrain of the Dominican Republic. Update as of 5 pm Wednesday: Fred was reported to still be a tropical storm, based largely on an areas of thunderstorm activity to the southeast of its center.